By The Intern
The theme of UFC on FOX 2 might be all about the No. 1 contender. Both Chael Sonnen and Rashad Evans – and even Michael Bisping and Phil Davis – will be aiming to become No. 1 contenders in their divisions with a win on Saturday. And even the bout between Chris Weidman and Demian Maia will elevate one of them closer to that status.
We chatted with Phil Gray, the Line Management Supervisor for Sports Interaction to get some insight on the public/sharp action for this weekend's card:
Chael Sonnen is a massive favorite over Michael Bisping. At first glance, a lot of casual bettors might feel Bisping has a better chance to win than the odds indicate and that he's a good value play. How's the action been so far?
With Bisping getting in on the trash talk, betting interest is quite high on this bout, We are seeing substantial single bets on both sides as bettors love the villains. Sonnen is universally despised, but this hasn’t stopped our bettors from backing him with many max single bets, choosing not to include him in parlays.
Opinions are high on this one, and people are paying to watch the spectacle here.
We're jumping the gun here - as pretty much everyone else is this weekend - but if Sonnen wins and gets another shot at Anderson Silva, where do you think the betting line should be set at?
Sonnen did look dominant at times in his loss to Silva last year and given his impressive victory over Brian Stann, we’d have to think this bout would be a pick’em. But given Silva’s enormous public appeal I would think he opens as the slight favorite, probably -140.
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We were surprised to see Demian Maia as an underdog in his bout with the less experienced Chris Weidman. Are bettors also thinking the same and taking advantage of the value on Maia as a dog?
Absolutely, you are bang on, we have had to push out the price already on Weidman to counter the heavy one-sided action on Maia.
Weidman’s seven straight wins and submission expertise have convinced odds makers he is the favorite here. Personally I don’t see a “bad beat” here; Chris Weidman by Unanimous Decision.
The Rashad Evans-Phil Davis fight seems like a can't-win situation for Davis since Evans seemingly does everything Davis does, and more. What's the action been like on this fight so far?
Massive early action, we have dropped the price considerably on Evans from the opener. This is arguably a “must-win” fight for him, if he wants another title in the near future. Given Davis’ considerable skill set this could be a good spot to back the underdog, at +150 risk versus return is well worth it.